BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN+ 9 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Canada. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a lot of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first location cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will attempt to receive my 2nd chair this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be actual bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $25k prize, and then I will probably take a few shots at the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic amount of play into cash games.
With that said, let us get to a few plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is by far the safest play in the board and she also has 100+ point upside down. She’s a lock within my cash games this week and that I don’t really see how she loses. I think a submission could be Moras‘ best opportunity but she is not capable of getting the fight to the ground, so I see her getting dominated on the feet before the ref measures. She’s by far my favorite play at the $9k range and she is a -750 on the gambling line. I enjoy playing with it safer in cash games and I believe she is a secure triumph this week.
GPP play of the week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is an easy one for me and he will be the chalk of the week. I’ll continue to be obese on Merab though. His style is precisely what we need on DraftKings. He has a nonstop speed and he shoots for takedowns frequently. He has 22 landed takedowns in his initial 3 UFC fights which is his very best route to success in this matchup too. Even with 2 losses on his album out of these 3 conflicts, he averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This is not my GPP drama of the week since I know he is going to win, I only know IF he wins that he will score highly, and he needs to easily reach value on an $8.6k price .
Underdog play of the week — Donald’Cowboy‘ Cerrone — $7,800
I have to select Cowboy as the dog of the week. His fights are always action packed and the winner of the fight will definitely be about the first-place lineup. Especially if it is Cowboy. He almost always scores over 100 points in his wins and he has 5-rounds to use here. I don’t find a circumstance in which he wins and doesn’t wind up on the $25k lineup. I’ll be overweight on Cowboy this week, but this really is an all-in fight for me. If Cowboy isn’t in one of my lineups, you then will see Iaquinta there. I’m heavier on the Cowboy side though and I believe he gets the job done by submission.
Fade of the week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be quite surprised to see Theodorou on the 1st location lineup this week. I’d be amazed to see him get even 10x his $8k cost and that is the reason why I have zero lineups together with this week. Not counting his fight with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins before that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is simply bad for DraftKings. He will have to knock Brunson out whether he’s going to score tremendously and he is not a power puncher. I believe you’re better off taking Elias by TKO on the betting line in +870. I really don’t see any reason to spend in him this week in GPPs because he doesn’t possess the ceiling we would like to win that large $25k. I think he is fine in cash games because a 65-point win would not kill us there. However he’s an easy fade of the week for me Saturday.
Thank you for reading this and great luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown each struggle on the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I am 71-45 to get +233.79un (+$23,379) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)

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